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The Illusion of Control: How an Open Mind Can Help Protect Us
An Israeli soldier stands during a two-minute siren marking the annual Israeli Holocaust Remembrance Day, at an installation at the site of the Nova festival where party goers were killed and kidnapped during the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas terrorists from Gaza, in Reim, southern Israel, May 6, 2024. Photo: REUTERS/Ammar Awad
Humans love certainties. We think we know the answers, but many times, we don’t. Our history is replete with failed systems and misguided leaders. Look at the Bible. Even the best of them is fallible. And the Bible makes no attempt to cover up or excuse the mistakes of our religious and political leaders. Judges, kings, priests, and rabbis have all misjudged and failed to some degree.
Historically, there were no accurate warnings in advance of catastrophes — only vague prophecies about human imperfections. Characters such as Nostradamus were suitably vague, to be capable of multiple interpretations. So are the fashionable predictions derived from Biblical sources about much later events. And despite the Talmud telling us not to try predicting the arrival of the Messiah, we have not stopped trying for thousands of years.
In the West, we assumed that the politicians and bureaucrats would have realized by now that the very appeasement policies that led to World War II would only prolong conflict in the Middle East by persisting with policies that have consistently failed.
After the collapse of the USSR, we thought that capitalism had proved the victor. Francis Fukuyama even suggested the end of history (he then claimed he did not mean it). Decades ago, few predicted the alliance between Russia, China, and Iran. And certainly, we ordinary people did not imagine October 7th.
We may think we know what might happen in the next few years politically or environmentally, but the evidence is that we do not.
As Jews, many assumed that Orthodoxy was going to disappear, both in the Diaspora and Israel. Many thought that antisemitism in the Western World had been curbed, or that the Holocaust museums and education would prevent antisemitism. We thought China would never become antisemitic because it had no Jews — now it spreads anti-Jewish propaganda.
Many Israelis thought the situation in Gaza was stable. We thought Israel might pivot away from the US and Europe, and towards China or India. And we assumed that Israeli intelligence combined with political leadership would know what was going to happen on October 7th. All of this because of overconfidence, relying on the status quo, and not considering other perspectives.
We must be skeptical of our certainties, and be open to challenging and examining them.
This doesn’t mean that things will only get worse. History is full of cycles. Inexplicably, and against the odds, things might change for the better. There are moderate Muslims who realize they must stand up against terror and violence — just as we have our zealots as well as pacifists. In Israel, there have always been moderates and optimists. It’s just that every time there is violence, viscerally one tightens up and closes the gates for protection. We may one day see peace, tolerance, friendship, and understanding — however remote it seems just now.
We don’t control the future, but we can influence it. But if we insist on the illusion of control, we often end up losing actual control. Napoleon was very successful in battle. So was Hitler — before they both failed. So was Russia. And so are too many leaders today. The idea that the world can become a better place sustains us with hope, however dark the situation may appear. For some, this is what Messianism promises.
We all have different narratives and loyalties that conflict and seem irreconcilable. In the meantime, as individuals, regardless of what those around us might do, we know we must pursue the good, justice, and honesty, and remember that we all come from one source. We might be groping in the dark, worried about the future, but we survive.
The author is a writer and rabbi, currently based in New York.
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Lebanon Must Disarm Hezbollah to Have a Shot at Better Days, Says US Envoy

Thomas Barrack at the Brooklyn Federal Courthouse in Brooklyn, New York, U.S., November 4, 2022. Photo: REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
i24 News – Lebanon’s daunting social, economic and political issues would not get resolved unless the state persists in the efforts to disarm Hezbollah, the Iranian proxy behind so much of the unrest and destruction, special US envoy Tom Barrack told The National.
“You have Israel on one side, you have Iran on the other, and now you have Syria manifesting itself so quickly that if Lebanon doesn’t move, it’s going to be Bilad Al Sham again,” he said, using the historical Arabic name for the region sometimes known as “larger Syria.”
The official stressed the need to follow through on promises to disarm the Iranian proxy, which suffered severe blows from Israel in the past year, including the elimination of its entire leadership, and is considered a weakened though still dangerous jihadist outfit.
“There are issues that we have to arm wrestle with each other over to come to a final conclusion. Remember, we have an agreement, it was a great agreement. The problem is, nobody followed it,” he told The National.
Barrack spoke on the heels of a trip to Beirut, where he proposed a diplomatic plan for the region involving the full disarmament of Hezbollah by the Lebanese state.
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Report: Putin Urges Iran to Accept ‘Zero Enrichment’ Nuclear Deal With US

Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Iranian counterpart Masoud Pezeshkian on the sidelines of a cultural forum dedicated to the 300th anniversary of the birth of the Turkmen poet and philosopher Magtymguly Fragi, in Ashgabat, Turkmenistan, Oct. 11, 2024. Photo: Sputnik/Alexander Scherbak/Pool via REUTERS
i24 News – Russian President Vladimir Putin has told Iranian leadership that he supports the idea of a nuclear deal in which Iran is unable to enrich uranium, the Axios website reported on Saturday. The Russian strongman also relayed the message to his American counterpart, President Donald Trump, the report said.
Iranian news agency Tasnim issued a denial, citing an “informed source” as saying Putin had not sent any message to Iran in this regard.
Also on Saturday, Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that “Any negotiated solution must respect Iran’s right to enrichment. No agreement without recognizing our right to enrichment. If negotiations occur, the only topic will be the nuclear program. No other issues, especially defense or military matters, will be on the agenda.”
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Syria’s Al-Sharaa Attending At Least One Meeting With Israeli Officials in Azerbaijan

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa speaks during a joint press conference with French President Emmanuel Macron after a meeting at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, May 7, 2025. Photo: REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq/Pool
i24 News – Syrian President Ahmed Al-Sharaa is attending at least one meeting with Israeli officials in Azerbaijan today, despite sources in Damascus claiming he wasn’t attending, a Syrian source close to President Al-Sharaa tells i24NEWS.
The Syrian source stated that this is a series of two or three meetings between the sides, with Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani also in attendance, along with Ahmed Al-Dalati, the Syrian government’s liaison for security meetings with Israel.
The high-level Israeli delegation includes a special envoy of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, as well as security and military figures.
The purpose of the meetings is to discuss further details of the security agreement to be signed between Israel and Syria, the Iranian threat in Syria and Lebanon, Hezbollah’s weapons, the weapons of Palestinian militias, the Palestinians camps in Lebanon, and the future of Palestinian refugees from Gaza in the region.
The possibility of opening an Israeli coordination office in Damascus, without diplomatic status, might also be discussed.
The source stated that the decision to hold the meetings in Azerbaijan, made by Israel and the US, is intended to send a message to Iran.
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