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The Mullahs’ Psychological Gamble: A Mind Game Against Israel and Iranians
Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei speaks during a meeting with a group of students in Tehran, Iran, Nov. 2, 2022. Photo: Office of the Iranian Supreme Leader/WANA (West Asia News Agency)/Handout via REUTERS
In this era of pronounced geopolitical volatility, the Middle Eastern theatre is poised at a juncture full of apprehension and indeterminacy. Now, a discernible escalation in psychological warfare is underway, spearheaded by Iran’s theocratic elite, who appear resolute in their quest to amplify regional discord.
The populations of Iran and Israel find themselves ensnared in this maelstrom. Within Iran, a palpable tension pervades, as citizens — encumbered by the specter of imminent conflict — grapple with an overarching fear of their collective destiny. Central to this crisis are the clerical overseers of Iran, whose machinations have not only imperiled regional equilibrium, but have also flirted with catastrophe.
The Iranian leadership’s tripartite strategy of missile deployments, the instigation of surrogate militant entities, and the orchestration of a vehement informational offensive, betrays a regime more preoccupied with the preservation of its facade than the attainment of authentic triumphs. Such maneuvers, indicative of a regime ostracized and denounced on the global stage, betray a desperate adherence to power.
The tumult is exacerbated by the intricate ballet of international relations. Notwithstanding the erstwhile Soviet dominion over Iran’s military stratagem, Tehran’s prevailing motive remains the perpetuation of the clerical hegemony, an intent that the United States appears to reciprocate ambiguously. Across successive administrations, the US has exhibited hesitance towards advocating for a regime transition, preferring instead to navigate a precarious liaison with a government that has sustained a legacy of terror and subjugation for more than four decades. Such US inertia has only served to embolden the clerical regime, thereby aggravating regional volatility.
The Islamic Republic of Iran’s ideological crusade, anchored in the doctrines of Khomeinism, represents an existential menace to Israel — but also to the very fabric of global peace and equilibrium. Iran appears poised to strike Israel directly, putting not only the Jewish State, but the entire world in danger of a growing conflict.
The exodus of Mohammad Reza Shah Pahlavi signified the dawn of a period in Iran characterized by tumult and conflict. Through its unyielding quest for conflict and disorder, the clerical regime not only alienates itself internationally but also imperils Iran’s future.
However, in the event of an Israeli reprisal, it remains unknown if the Iranian citizenry would rally behind their government, particularly given the regime’s notorious history of domestic oppression — which is starkly divergent from the democratic and peaceful aspirations of the majority.
Yet, as the shadow of conflict between Israel, Iran, and the West becomes increasingly palpable, the global collective remains fragmented on the issue of Islamic militancy, unlike the unity that dismantled apartheid and communism.
Iran, seemingly heedless of the dire consequences, appears intent on intensifying tensions. In this somber narrative, the clerical regime emerges as the architect of its own undoing, clinging to authority through a campaign of intimidation and subjugation, even as its actions seed the eventual collapse.
As we bear witness to this unfolding calamity, one truth persists: the indomitable spirit of the Iranian people, undeterred by decades of despotism. Their quest for liberation stands as a beacon of hope in a region overshadowed by conflict. It is this undying spirit that ultimately heralds a future not delineated by the whims of tyrants, but by the collective aspiration of a populace yearning for tranquility, stability, and prosperity.
Erfan Fard is a counterterrorism analyst and Middle East Studies researcher based in Washington, DC. Twitter@EQFARD.
The post The Mullahs’ Psychological Gamble: A Mind Game Against Israel and Iranians first appeared on Algemeiner.com.
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Germany: 5 Killed, Scores Wounded after Saudi Man Plows Car Into Christmas crowd
Magdeburg Christmas market, December 21, 2024. Photo: REUTERS/Christian Mang
i24 News – A suspected terrorist plowed a vehicle into a crowd at a Christmas market in the German city of Magdeburg, west of the capital Berlin, killing at least five and injuring dozens more.
Local police confirmed that the suspect was a Saudi national born in 1974 and acting alone.
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz expressed his concern about the incident, saying that “reports from Magdeburg suggest something bad. My thoughts are with the victims and their families.”
Police declined to give casualty numbers, confirming only a large-scale operation at the market, where people had gathered to celebrate in the days leading up to the Christmas holidays.
The post Germany: 5 Killed, Scores Wounded after Saudi Man Plows Car Into Christmas crowd first appeared on Algemeiner.com.
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Syria’s New Rulers Name HTS Commander as Defense Minister
A person waves a flag adopted by the new Syrian rulers, as people gather during a celebration called by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) near the Umayyad Mosque, after the ousting of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad, in Damascus, Syria, Photo: December 20, 2024. REUTERS/Ammar Awad/File Photo
Syria’s new rulers have appointed Murhaf Abu Qasra, a leading figure in the insurgency which toppled Bashar al-Assad, as defense minister in the interim government, an official source said on Saturday.
Abu Qasra, who is also known by the nom de guerre Abu Hassan 600, is a senior figure in the Islamist Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group which led the campaign that ousted Assad this month. He led numerous military operations during Syria’s revolution, the source said.
Syria’s de facto leader Ahmed al-Sharaa discussed “the form of the military institution in the new Syria” during a meeting with armed factions on Saturday, state news agency SANA reported.
Abu Qasra during the meeting sat next to Sharaa, also known by the nom de guerre Abu Mohammed al-Golani, photos published by SANA showed.
Prime Minister Mohammed al-Bashir said this week that the defense ministry would be restructured using former rebel factions and officers who defected from Assad’s army.
Bashir, who formerly led an HTS-affiliated administration in the northwestern province of Idlib, has said he will lead a three-month transitional government. The new administration has not declared plans for what will happen after that.
Earlier on Saturday, the ruling General Command named Asaad Hassan al-Shibani as foreign minister, SANA said. A source in the new administration told Reuters that this step “comes in response to the aspirations of the Syrian people to establish international relations that bring peace and stability.”
Shibani, a 37-year-old graduate of Damascus University, previously led the political department of the rebels’ Idlib government, the General Command said.
Sharaa’s group was part of al Qaeda until he broke ties in 2016. It had been confined to Idlib for years until going on the offensive in late November, sweeping through the cities of western Syria and into Damascus as the army melted away.
Sharaa has met with a number of international envoys this week. He has said his primary focus is on reconstruction and achieving economic development and that he is not interested in engaging in any new conflicts.
Syrian rebels seized control of Damascus on Dec. 8, forcing Assad to flee after more than 13 years of civil war and ending his family’s decades-long rule.
Washington designated Sharaa a terrorist in 2013, saying al Qaeda in Iraq had tasked him with overthrowing Assad’s rule and establishing Islamic sharia law in Syria. US officials said on Friday that Washington would remove a $10 million bounty on his head.
The war has killed hundreds of thousands of people, caused one of the biggest refugee crises of modern times and left cities bombed to rubble and the economy hollowed out by global sanctions.
The post Syria’s New Rulers Name HTS Commander as Defense Minister first appeared on Algemeiner.com.
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Sweden Ends Funding for UNRWA, Pledges to Seek Other Aid Channels
View of the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA) building in Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip. Photo: Abed Rahim Khatib / Flash90.
i24 News – Sweden will no longer fund the U.N. refugee agency for Palestinians (UNRWA) and will instead provide humanitarian assistance to Gaza via other channels, the Scandinavian country said on Friday.
The decision comes on the heels of multiple revelations regarding the agency’s employees’ involvement in the October 7, 2023, Hamas-led massacre in southern Israel that triggered the war in Gaza.
Sweden’s decision was in response to the Israeli ban, as it will make channeling aid via the agency more difficult, the country’s aid minister, Benjamin Dousa, said.
“Large parts of UNRWA’s operations in Gaza are either going to be severely weakened or completely impossible,” Dousa said. “For the government, the most important thing is that support gets through.”
The Palestinian embassy in Stockholm said in a statement: “We reject the idea of finding alternatives to UNRWA, which has a special mandate to provide services to Palestinian refugees.”
Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Sharren Haskel thanked Dousa for a meeting they had this week and for Sweden’s decision to drop its support for UNRWA.
“There are worthy and viable alternatives for humanitarian aid, and I appreciate the willingness to listen and adopt a different approach,” she said.
The post Sweden Ends Funding for UNRWA, Pledges to Seek Other Aid Channels first appeared on Algemeiner.com.
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